Alma Mater
ISSN 1026-955X
Vestnik Vysshey Shkoly (Higher School Herald)
The best way to learn all about Higher Education


L.A. Naynish, T.V. Golubinskaya, O.I. Lazareva. Prognosis model for results of professional training

1,00 Р

 L.A. Naynish is doct in Pedagogy, prof., head of sub-faculty


T.V. Golubinskaya is head of methodical department


O.I. Lazareva is post-graduate student


Penza State University of Architecture & Construction


       Discussed are problems of forecasting of results of professional training, generated by high degree of uncertainty and complexity of educational training process. But any learning process is developing in conformity with known laws, based on which it is possible to make a model. The most effective are mathematical models. The authors substantiated construction of model with use of cybernetic approach and method of geometric modeling, the result of which is discrete structure in four-dimensional space, reflecting relationship of qualitative characteristics of parameters of both input (learning content, students’ educational results, level of individualization of training) and output (level of professional training). Presented resulting model allows to identify at the beginning of educational training process group of students, who have different forecasts for development of curriculum, as well as develop special methods of adjustment for each group.

       Key words: professional education, uncertainty, forecasting, mathematical model.



1.      Novikov, A.M., Novikov, D.A. Methodology of scientific research. — M., 2010.

2.      Gershunsky, B.S. Educational and pedagogical prognostics. Theory, methodology, practice. — M., 2003.

3.      Myshkis, A.D. Elements of theory of mathematical models. — M., 2007.

4.      Mikhaylov, A.P. Mathematical modeling. Ideas. methods & examples. — M., 2001.

5.      Eshbie, R. Introduction into Cybernetics. — M., 1959.

6.      Valkov, K.I. Lectures on bases of geometrical modeling. — L., 1975.

7.      Naynish, L.A., Lyusev, V.N. Engineering pedagogics. — M., 2013.